Miller Computer Rankings Week 3
by Brian Miller(NCAA Football)
Posted on September 19, 2006, 2:44 AM
Welcome to the Miller Computer Rankings. For a technical explanation of the rankings, click here. It’s important to realize the nature of my poll, it’s not intended to predict a team’s performance or who’ll likely play for the national championship, but to evaluate a team’s performance over the year, which is the only objective criteria we do have in terms of determining the best team. As it’s early in the season the data is still highly variable and expect lots of movement before the data starts to work itself out. Each week the rankings will be broken down in three parts, the Top 25 and Bottom 5 along with brief analysis and a link to the complete rankings and ratings at the bottom.
1. Florida (3-0) – Wins over Tennessee (2-1) and Southern Miss (2-1) give Florida the honor of opening my poll at #1.
2. Boston College (3-0) – BC’s big win over Clemson (2-1) was bolstered by this last week’s Bowden Bowl victory for the Tigers.
3. Auburn (3-0) – Solid wins over LSU (2-1) and Washington State (2-1) start Auburn in the #3 position, the only reason they don’t start even higher is that a pasting of Mississippi State (0-3) is worthless.
4. Michigan (3-0) – Michigan garners the #4 spot by holding a blowout win over one of the two teams #22 Notre Dame and #20 Oklahoma to crack the Top 25 despite an early loss.
5. Oregon (3-0) – Oregon holds the #5 spot for the exact same reason, except their victory comes over #20 Oklahoma instead of over #22 Notre Dame.
6. USC (2-0) – Solid wins over both Nebraska (2-1) and Arkansas (2-1) leave the Trojans looking strong and poised to make another run.
7. Ohio State (3-0) – The consensus #1 team in the nation starts here at #7, a big win over Texas (2-1) helps, but wins over Northern Illinois (1-2) and Cincinnati (1-2) aren’t hard to come by.
8. Rutgers (3-0) – This ranking won’t likely last as Rutgers three wins are currently lodged against Ohio (2-1), North Carolina (1-2) and Illinois (1-2). Three teams that’ll be lucky to be bowl eligible this year.
9. Iowa (3-0) – Claims their spot by beating rival Iowa State (2-1), but the Syracuse (1-2) game reveals how dependent Iowa is upon Drew Tate.
10. Michigan State (3-0) – Another team that won’t hold their ranking long based off their first three games as wins over Eastern Michigan (0-3) and Idaho (1-2) won’t keep you in the Top 10. A win over Notre Dame this coming week would though.
11. Alabama (3-0) – Another team with rather unimpressive wins, Vanderbilt (0-3) and UL-Monroe (1-2), but with the upcoming schedule they can prove themselves or show that they can beat up on the cupcakes, but can’t hang with the big boys.
12. Louisville (3-0) – That win over Miami (1-2) will look more impressive after the Hurricanes defeat some teams besides Florida A&M.
13. TCU (3-0) – Holding Texas Tech (2-1) to 3 points is impressive; beating Baylor (1-2) and DIAA UC-Davis is not.
14. Wake Forest (3-0) – Any team needing a late blocked FG to beat Duke (0-3) has plenty to prove despite an undefeated record early in the season.
15. Georgia (3-0) – Wins over a struggling South Carolina (2-1) team and UAB (1-2) aren’t evidence of a top team, but continuing to win through a tough SEC schedule is, we’ll see how the Bulldogs fare over the course of the year.
16. West Virginia (3-0) – A win over Maryland (2-1) might mean more if Maryland’s two wins had come against someone other than DIAA William & Mary and Middle Tennessee State.
17. UCLA (2-0) – A win over Utah (2-1) is a solid win. A win over Rice (0-3) is not.
18. Wisconsin (3-0) – Wisconsin’s big win comes over the powerhouse Bowling Green Falcons (2-1). Another team where judgment will be reserved until conference play starts.
19. Oklahoma State (3-0) – Have beaten Sun Belt teams Arkansas State (1-1) and Florida Atlantic (0-3), along with DIAA Missouri State. Or more aptly they’ve beaten three teams that all play on a DIAA level if not in name.
20. Oklahoma (2-1) – Have a solid win over Washington (2-1) and a heartbreaker to #5 Oregon on their record right now. The Red River Shootout will be the proving ground for the Sooners.
21. Boise St. (3-0) – Win over Oregon State (1-1) is notable, but not unexpected as the game was played on the Smurf Turf.
22. Notre Dame (2-1) – Solid wins over Georgia Tech (2-1) and Penn State (2-1) are marred by the blowout loss in South Bend to #4 Michigan.
23. Houston (3-0) – I’m just as confused as you are about how the Cougars slipped on here. But after next weeks’ confrontation with #19 Oklahoma State expect the loser never to sniff the Top 25 again.
24. Texas A&M (3-0) – A&M’s big win comes over Army (1-2). An Army team whose big win comes over bottom dweller Kent State.
25. Missouri (3-0) – The Tigers have amazing wins over Ole Miss (1-2) and New Mexico (1-2). Expect to see Missouri’s win streak to continue against such stalwart competition such as Ohio and Colorado the next two weeks. They do play Oklahoma and Nebraska eventually though.
115. Duke (0-3) – Shutout by the DIAA Richmond Spiders, nothing more needs to be said.
116. Eastern Michigan (0-3) – Lost to Ball State (1-2) and a Northwestern (2-1) team that dropped a game to DIAA New Hampshire and whose only beaten two teams who reside in the bottom five.
117. Utah State (0-3) – Provided the sole win to (1-2) Wyoming while also losing to Arkansas and Utah.
118. Miami-Ohio (0-3) – Another victim to the Wildcats of Northwestern and also losing to a miserable Kent State (1-2) team.
119. Colorado (0-3) – They lost to DIAA Montana State (1-2). The same Montana State team that couldn’t figure out the riddle of Division II Chadron State or how to even score on DIAA UC-Davis.